Stochastic epidemic models: a survey.

نویسنده

  • Tom Britton
چکیده

This paper is a survey paper on stochastic epidemic models. A simple stochastic epidemic model is defined and exact and asymptotic (relying on a large community) properties are presented. The purpose of modelling is illustrated by studying effects of vaccination and also in terms of inference procedures for important parameters, such as the basic reproduction number and the critical vaccination coverage. Several generalizations towards realism, e.g. multitype and household epidemic models, are also presented, as is a model for endemic diseases.

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عنوان ژورنال:
  • Mathematical biosciences

دوره 225 1  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2010